摘要： 区域旅游经济发展的本质差异及其运行规律是旅游经济学研究的核心问题。通过构建“双驱力模型—二维错位发展—二维生命周期”的递进理论框架，可以洞悉旅游经济的本质，这是一个以资源禀赋为原生力、以区域经济为外生力，两者共同驱动，由贫乏困顿型向全面发展型演化再返回的多路径周期过程。旅游经济的发展绩效取决于“资源生命力”与“经济生命力”的动态适配与转化效率；错位是这一不对称周期过程中的演化路径，而非价值判断；四种典型形态、四种特殊形态及一般性过渡形态在三类时序结构的总体逻辑下呈现出局部差异化的规律走向；路径外偏离是双驱力模型的局部跳脱与暂时失效，构成旅游经济的结构性风险；经济引领型在宏观经济上行期对其他形态的示范效应更强，由资源依赖型演化趋近的全面发展型较之更具抵御经济下行的韧性。

关键词: 旅游经济, 资源禀赋, 区域经济, 错位发展, 生命周期, 双驱力模型

Abstract: The essential differences and operating laws of regional tourism economic development constitute the core issue in tourism economics research. This paper constructs a progressive theoretical framework of “dual-drive force model & two-dimensional dislocation development & two-dimensional life cycle”, revealing that the tourism economy is jointly driven by resource endowment as the primary driving force and regional economy as the exogenous driving force, forming a multi-path cyclical process evolving from the impoverished-deprived type toward the comprehensive development type and then returning. Its development performance hinges on the dynamic adaptation and transformation efficiency between “resource vitality” and “economic vitality”. Dislocation functions are the evolutionary pathway within this asymmetric cyclical process, rather than a value judgment. Four typical patterns, four special patterns, and general transitional patterns exhibit locally differentiated trajectories of regularity under the overarching logic of three types of temporal structures. Path-off deviations represent a partial breakout and temporary failure of the dual-drive force model, constituting a structural risk to the tourism economy. The economy-led type exerts a stronger demonstration effect on other patterns during macroeconomic upswings. Moreover, the comprehensive development type evolved from the resource-dependent type possesses greater resilience against economic downturns compared with that derived from the economy-led type.

Key words: tourism economy, resource endowment, regional economy, dislocation development, life cycle, dual-drive force model