摘要： 以“基因分析”为方法可提出几个猜想或问题。（1）巫史转换是在变异而连贯的遗传中生成后裔的一种转型重生模式，其创建了开放解释、互动性和系统化的人文叙事原则。（2）巫术缺乏足够的知识灵验度，通过制度化、规范化和专业化的“魔法”来博取集体心理信任，这一模式转世为人文与历史知识的学术规范。（3）历史思维在因果解释上胜过巫术思维的决定因素是建立了“失败经验”的实践论模式，基本精神接近试错的贝叶斯概率，并继承了巫术的潜无穷时间概念。（4）宗教不是巫术的后裔，两者的时间概念相反，宗教承诺了完成式的实无穷时间。两者的解释模型也相反，宗教是闭合性而不是开放性的解释模型。所有承诺历史终结的叙事都是伪装为历史的宗教。（5）科学是断裂性的另一种绝地天通，在知识论上建立了与解释模型不同的解析模型，但无法还原为科学的心理与精神世界仍然属于人文知识。（6）当代的人文和历史、文学和艺术、精神分析和美学形式都是巫术的转世变异后裔，其以更成熟的“新魔法”继续为事物赋值从而建构精神世界。

关键词: 巫术, 魔法, 绝地天通, 巫史转换

Abstract: It proposes several conjectures or questions through the method of “gene analysis”. (1) The transformation from sorcery to historiography (wu-shi conversion) is a mode of transformative rebirth that generates descendants through mutated yet coherent inheritance, creating principles of open interpretation, interactivity, and systematic humanistic narrative. (2) Lacking sufficient epistemic efficacy, sorcery relies on institutionalized, standardized, and specialized “magic” to secure collective psychological trust; this model is reincarnated as the academic norms of humanistic and historical knowledge. (3) The decisive factor that makes historical thinking superior to sorcerous thinking in causal explanation lies in its establishment of a practical model centered on “failed experience”, whose fundamental spirit approximates trial-and error Bayesian probability, while inheriting sorcery’s concept of potential infinite time. (4) Religion is not a descendant of sorcery. Their concepts of time are opposite: religion promises a completed actual infinite time. Their explanatory models are also opposite: religion adopts a closed rather than an open interpretive model. All narratives that promise an end of history are religions disguised as history. (5) Science represents another disruptive juedi tiantong. It establishes in epistemology an analytical model distinct from the interpretive model, but the psychological and spiritual worlds that cannot be reduced to science still belong to humanistic knowledge. (6) Contemporary humanities and history, literature and art, psychoanalysis and aesthetic forms are all reincarnated variant descendants of sorcery. They continue to assign values to things through more mature “new magic,” thereby constructing the spiritual world.

Key words: sorcery, magic, juedi tiantong, wu-shi conversion